Apple stock is falling, as are the rest of the Big Tech gang. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, is rising because rising bond yields indicate that investors are feeling more confident about the economic recovery.
Apple (AAPL) and the Nasdaq-100 are falling 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively. That index contains 100 of the largest capitalization stocks on the Nasdaq composite, including Microsoft (MSFT)—down 1.6%— Amazon.com (AMZN)—down 0.3%—and Facebook
There seem to be two main drivers of the decline in these stocks. First off, long-dated bond yields are rising, with the 10-year Treasury yield hitting as high as 1.5%. Its low last week was 1.31% before it began surging. Higher bond yields make future profits less valuable—and investors expect supercharged profit growth for many years ahead from most big tech stocks. “As rates have gone up, people have sold growth,” says JJ Kinhan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade.
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Secondly, the higher yields are coming at a moment when these stocks have already enjoyed a strong run. The Nasdaq-100 is up almost 4.4% since June 30, crushing the Dow’s gain of 1.5% in that time span. “Peoples’ first instinct is to take some profits on growth, which has had a good run in the past few months,” Kinahan said.
Meanwhile, the value-oriented Dow is moving higher, up 241 points, or 0.3%. The index is heavily comprised of value companies, the earnings of which are largely more sensitive to changes in economic demand. With bond yields up—and the possibility that a 2022 Federal Reserve interest rate hike won’t damage economic growth—value names are enjoying a run. Boeing (BA) stock has gained 1.6%, while Caterpillar (CAT) has risen 1.8%.
If anything, the Fed’s higher interest rate projections indicate to markets a high degree of confidence in the economy—for now. And ultimately, that’s bad news for the stocks that don’t need a solid economy to grow their businesses.
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